James' World 2

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About 170 million people use TikTok in the U.S., but that number could abruptly plummet toward zero if a law signed by President Joe Biden goes into effect on January 19. The law forces a choice for ByteDance, the China-based company that owns TikTok: it must either sell the app to a non-Chinese company or face a ban. ByteDance has repeatedly said the app is not for sale.

Instead, the company sued to keep the TikTok app available in the U.S.—and that case has now made its way before the Supreme Court. In oral arguments on Friday, Noel Francisco, attorney for ByteDance’s U.S. subsidiary TikTok, Inc., argued that the new law violates the First Amendment rights of that subsidiary, likening TikTok’s curation algorithm to editorial discretion. U.S. solicitor general Elizabeth Prelogar, arguing on behalf of the nation’s government, countered that China does not have a First Amendment right to manipulate content in the U.S. And she claimed that “the Chinese government could weaponize TikTok at any time to harm the United States.”

The Supreme Court is expected to issue a decision within the next nine days.

Why is the clock ticking for TikTok?

Congress, which passed the TikTok law with bipartisan support, says China’s influence over the platform poses a national security threat. The Department of Justice has raised concerns as well, including the potential collection of personal data from the app’s millions of American users and the potential “covert manipulation” of its content. (Although there is evidence that ByteDance shared non-U.S. user data with China, the U.S. government has not provided direct proof that the company or its subsidiary have meddled with American users.)

What might happen?

If TikTok loses its case, “as I understand it, we go dark,” Francisco told the Supreme Court on Friday. Americans would no longer be able to download or update TikTok from Google’s or Apple’s app stores. Internet service providers, too, would face severe penalties if they permitted TikTok access to U.S. users.

Americans may react in similar ways as former TikTok users elsewhere. After India banned the app in 2020, users flocked to other forms of short-form video, such as Instagram reels and YouTube Shorts. It is also possible to access blocked content via virtual private networks, or VPNs, which could disguise traffic to make it appear to originate from a country where TikTok wasn’t banned.

President-elect Donald Trump, meanwhile, has asked the Supreme Court to delay interpreting the law until he takes office. An amicus brief filed on his behalf claims his “consummate dealmaking expertise” could save the platform while addressing the national security concerns. Last September Trump promised to save the app, posting on his social media network Truth Social, “FOR ALL OF THOSE THAT WANT TO SAVE TIK TOK IN AMERICA, VOTE TRUMP!” Legal scholars have criticized Trump’s request for a delay.

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